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Edition · Thursday, May 28, 2026·Archived · 3d ago · historical·28 May 2026 14:17 UTC

NQTRANSITION

Spot29909.00Futures29979.00Basis+70.00SessionREGULAR
Dealer Regime
TRANSITION - 0DTE slightly net NEGATIVE GEX at current price (breakdown: - at NDX 29892). 1DTE +.37M and 6DTE +.09M positive. AT gamma flip NDX 29915/NQ 29985. Total confirmed GEX +.30M (1DTE/6DTE dominant). 0DTE in negative zone creates amplification for 0DTE frame. 1DTE/6DTE positive provides longer-term support.
NetGEX $5.3MRisk MODERATE
Opening Type
OPEN TEST DRIVE
Conf 45%Day NORMALGAP UP
Share Card
Accuracy Ledger2 logged · 2 scored50% hit rateFull ledger ↓
Desk Thesis · 2026-05-28

NQ at gamma flip with vanna upgrade (SHORT->LONG flip) but structurally messy: 0DTE negative GEX, charm 2.17x bearish, IV not crushed (Q1 maintained). Range 29840-30080, bias toward lower half. Vanna supports test of 30000-30070 but EOD gravity reverses it.

NQ at critical gamma flip inflection (NDX 29915/NQ 29985). Vanna flipped LONG (+16,048 swing from pre-market) but 0DTE is net negative GEX at current price. IV NOT crushed - still Q1 Bullish Exuberance (199.2%, 79.4%ile, positive call skew RR+76). Charm 2.17x downward = EOD gravity bearish. Color only +88 (no mechanical pin). NQ can rally to 30000-30070 if anti-magnet cleared but likely reverts EOD. Range 29840-30080, bias toward lower half into close.

Level Map

Confluence-ranked · distances from spot 29909.00
NQ
NDX
Level
Action · Distance
NQ30070.00
NDX30000.00
CALL WALLNQ 30070 (NDX 30000) 1DTE call wall - BULL GATE
WATCH+0.30% · conf 90 · $2.4M
NQ30057.00
NDX29957.00
DOMINANT ANCHORNQ 30027-30057 (NDX 29957-29987) vanna magnet cluster - bull target band
TARGET+0.26% · conf 80 · $4.8M
NQ29997.00
NDX29927.00
DOMINANT ANCHORNQ 29997 (NDX 29927) vanna anti-magnet above - friction zone
WATCH+0.06% · conf 75 · -$6.1M
NQ29985.00
NDX29915.00
GEX MAGNETNQ 29985 (NDX 29915) gamma flip - SESSION FULCRUM
WAIT_FOR_HOLD+0.02% · conf 92 · -$742.0K
NQ29967.00
NDX29897.00
DOMINANT ANCHORNQ 29967 (NDX 29897) dominant vanna anti-magnet below
CRITICAL_SUPPORT-0.04% · conf 85 · -$11.3M
SPOT
NQ29979.00
NDX29909.00
Range 29770.00–30100.00
NQ29840.00
NDX29770.00
PUT WALLNQ 29840 (NDX 29770) 1DTE put wall - bear floor
WATCH-0.46% · conf 85 · $2.4M
NQ29650.00
NDX29580.00
DOMINANT ANCHORNQ 29650 (NDX 29580) conf-3 support + 6DTE HVL
WATCH-1.10% · conf 80 · $2.1M

Level Reaction

Intraday tape · NQ · 2026-05-28
Loading session tape…

Greek Pressure

Dealer directional forces · next session
GAMMA
UP · 45

TRANSITION - 0DTE net NEGATIVE at current price (-, breakdown at NDX 29892). 1DTE +.37M dominant (45%) and 6DTE +.09M positive. Total +.30M across all confirmed DTEs. AT gamma flip NDX 29915/NQ 29985 (user anchor NQ 29979 is 6 pts below flip). Negative 0DTE GEX = amplification for 0DTE moves. 1DTE/6DTE positive = structural cushion. TRANSITION regime.

VANNA
UP · 85

LONG STABILIZING - FULL FLIP from pre-market SHORT -4,269. Current VHI +11,779 vs avg +2,113 (+457% above avg). 16,048-point swing intraday. Trend: RISING. DOMINANT LONG MAGNETS: NDX 29987 (+16,084), 30017 (+13,331), 30047 (+5,099), 29957 (+4,759). ANTI-MAGNETS: NDX 29897 (-11,286 DOMINANT, 12 NDX pts below), 29927 (-6,095, 18 NDX pts above), 29867 (-4,863). User NQ 29979 INSIDE anti-magnet sandwich (29897-29927). Must clear 29927 to access long vanna magnets.

CHARM
DOWN · 80

Net -. Path of least resistance: DOWNWARD. Below-spot charm .0B vs above-spot .9B (2.17x downward skew). Dominant EOD attractor NDX 29200 (+.72B), 29190 (+.57B). Upside: NDX 30210 (+), 30450 (+) distant. No mechanical Color pin (+88 only). Charm governs NQ EOD direction: gravity BEARISH.

COLOR
UP · 8

Color +88.8. WEAK EOD PIN - 84x smaller than ES Color +7,493. NQ has essentially NO mechanical pin force into the close. Directional moves persist through 3-4 PM ET. Charm (2.17x downward) is the EOD governor for NQ, not Color. NQ can trend in either direction into close.

SPEED
DOWN · 5

Speed -0.004. NEGLIGIBLE. Gamma essentially flat with respect to price changes. No significant amplification or dampening dynamics from Speed for NQ.

VOMMA
UP · 40

Vomma +938. Positive but small. IV event premium retaining value (Q1 regime, 199.2% ATM IV). Consistent with partial vol crush scenario. If vol rises from 199.2%, positive vomma means GEX slightly amplifies.

ZOMMA
UP · 5

Zomma +1.46. Negligible. No anomalous gamma-vol interaction signal for NQ.

Higher-Order

Second + third-order greeks
color
LATENT
88.765

WEAK EOD PIN - 84x smaller than ES Color +7,493. NQ has essentially NO mechanical pin force into the close. Directional moves in NQ can persist through 3-4 PM ET window. Charm (not Color) governs NQ EOD direction.

speed
LATENT
-0.004

Negligible. Gamma nearly flat with respect to price. No significant amplification or dampening signal from speed.

vomma
LATENT
938.142

Positive but small. IV event premium retaining some value. Consistent with Q1 regime not fully crushing.

zomma
LATENT
1.461

Negligible. No anomalous gamma-vol interaction signal.

IV Intelligence

Quadrant · skew · term structure
Regime Quadrant
Q1 Bullish Exuberance - NQ IV NOT crushed post-PCE. 0DTE ATM IV 199.20% at 79.4%ile (was ~229% pre-market, only -30 vol pts crushed). Positive call skew maintained (RR +76.38). Institutional call demand persists in NQ despite in-line PCE.
ATM IVUnavailable
IV Percentile79
Skew Pctile83
Skew ShapeREVERSE_SMIRK
Expected Daily Move±2.50% / ±2.50%
Term Structure
POST PCE PARTIAL CRUSH Q1 — BACKWARDATION — stress premium in front
0DTE (2026-05-28, 199.20%, 79.4%ile, Q1 - NOT crushed, call skew RR+76.38)
7DTE (2026-06-04, 49.04%, 17.9%ile, Q3 - post-event partial relief)
30DTE (34.43%, 7.1%ile, Q3 - multi-week low)
FRONT MID BACK

Cross-Asset Confirmation / Component Confluence

CONFIRMING · COMPLETE
4 native levels received secondary cross-asset confirmation. Strongest alignment sits around 29650.00 via component confluence zones.

Native futures levels stay primary. Use ETF conversions as corroboration and component zones as provisional structure only, especially when the overlay is partial or quality flags are present.

Secondary confirmation only. Native index and MCP levels remain primary. MCP-native individual stock Greek scans are unavailable; if component confluence is attached it was produced by the system-level Polygon overlay path and remains opt-in, secondary, and provisional rather than an executable native futures level. Component weights are static/proxy unless explicitly holdings-confirmed, beta may be defaulted to 1.0, and TOP_10 lists should not be treated as quantitatively ranked until liquidity plus holdings/beta calibration are implemented.

Native Levels Confirmed

4 matched levels
DOMINANT ANCHOR
19 conf
29650.00
NQ 29650 (NDX 29580) conf-3 support + 6DTE HVL

NQ 29650 (NDX 29580) conf-3 support + 6DTE HVL is secondarily confirmed by 3-stock zone 29652.73-29697.69.

COMP 2
DOMINANT ANCHOR
17 conf
29967.00
NQ 29967 (NDX 29897) dominant vanna anti-magnet below

NQ 29967 (NDX 29897) dominant vanna anti-magnet below is secondarily confirmed by 5-stock zone 29954.04-30000.61.

COMP 2
HVL
17 conf
29985.00
NQ 29985 (NDX 29915) gamma flip - SESSION FULCRUM

NQ 29985 (NDX 29915) gamma flip - SESSION FULCRUM is secondarily confirmed by 5-stock zone 29954.04-30000.61.

COMP 2
DOMINANT ANCHOR
17 conf
29997.00
NQ 29997 (NDX 29927) vanna anti-magnet above - friction zone

NQ 29997 (NDX 29927) vanna anti-magnet above - friction zone is secondarily confirmed by 5-stock zone 29954.04-30000.61.

COMP 2

ETF Confirmation Levels

QQQ ratio-converted
No ETF ratio confirmations were retained.Missing ETF spot or source coverage can suppress this list on bounded runs.

Component Confluence Zones

Provisional only
PUT_SUPPORT
0.42
29652.73 - 29697.69
center 29675.21 · 3 names · DTE 8

3-stock put-support confluence cluster centered 29675.21. Provisional component estimate, not a native executable level.

CALL_WALL
0.37
29954.04 - 30000.61
center 29977.39 · 5 names · DTE 8

5-stock call-side confluence cluster centered 29977.39. Provisional component estimate, not a native executable level.

PUT_SUPPORT
0.37
29790.00 - 29853.11
center 29819.74 · 6 names · DTE 1

6-stock put-support confluence cluster centered 29819.74. Provisional component estimate, not a native executable level.

CALL_WALL
0.36
29954.04 - 30050.41
center 30001.98 · 8 names · DTE 1

8-stock call-side confluence cluster centered 30001.98. Provisional component estimate, not a native executable level.

Cautions

Quality-aware language
  • Component zones rely on static/proxy weights rather than holdings-confirmed weights and stay secondary to native futures levels.
  • At least one component projection defaulted beta to 1.0, so component-zone placement is approximate.
  • Source coverage was degraded by quote gaps or pagination truncation, so missing confirmations are not a signal by themselves.
  • Parts of the overlay could not be converted onto the futures axis because a required live price was unavailable.
  • One or more component zones were built from a small contributor set and should be treated as provisional only.
  • MCP-native individual stock Greek scans are unavailable. If component zones are attached, they come from the system-level Polygon overlay path and remain secondary/provisional to native index and MCP levels.

Overlay Diagnostics

Runtime 44s
  • LIGHTER_SELECTION_PATH: using static seed order for this overlay run to avoid a duplicate liquidity pre-scan before component resolution.
  • ETF_SOURCE: contracts:PAGINATION_REQUIRED
  • ETF_SOURCE: contracts:PAGINATION_TRUNCATED
  • COMPONENT_SOURCE: Selected universe uses STATIC_SEED_FALLBACK and HOLDINGS_STALE until issuer/provider holdings adapters exist.
  • COMPONENT_SOURCE: Using static seed order for this run to avoid a duplicate liquidity pre-scan before component source resolution.
  • MISSING_ETF_SPOT: cannot convert QQQ CALL_WALL

LBF Status

Look-Below-And-Fail · conditions armed
Above H V L
Vix Confirmation
Vanna Confirmation
Sustained Directional Flow
NOT ARMED · 1/3 conditions
2
Tension Index

Accuracy Log

Outcomes · last 2 levels scored
DateSymbolLevelPredictedOutcomeNotes
2026-04-20NQDOMINANT ANCHOR@ 26831.00FADE_ATHELDHigh print was 26827.00, four points shy of the 26831 anchor. The ceiling held and the contract closed back below at 26774.50.
2026-04-20NQPUT FLOOR@ 26689.00BUY_ON_TESTABSORBEDNQ broke below first support to 26593.75, but the move did not extend to 26499 structural support. The contract recovered and closed 26774.50, so the downside strike occurred but was ultimately absorbed.
Total Logged2
Scored2
Hit Rate50%
Best Level Type

Archive

Recent editions
2026-05-29 · NQ
NQ is the higher-beta, higher-cascade-risk instrument. Anti-magnet band at 29997-30178 NDX (30073-30254 NQ) surrounds current spot. Vanna magnet at 30300 NDX (30376 NQ) pulls upward on vol compression. Bull gate: 30376 NQ then HVL 30516 then call wall 30626. Bear gate: 30176 NQ (put wall/top neg GEX) ? anti-magnet cascade through 30073-30164 NQ ? 30036 (put wall) ? gap 29617 NQ.
OPEN AUCTION · NEUTRAL
NEUTRALPOSITIVE
2026-05-29 · ES
Massive positive gamma pin with bull bias. 7600 SPX / 7610 ES is triple-DTE call wall and 7DTE HVL - the structural ceiling of the day. Friday charm C/G ratio 607 (rising) pulls ES toward 7650-7660 charm magnet into close. Short/destabilizing vanna (VHI -983K) means vol expansion could overcome the pin. Bull gate: 7610 ES acceptance ? 7630/7660. Bear gate: 7585 ES (HVL) rejection ? 7550 put wall, 7497 gap/gamma flip zone.
OPEN AUCTION · NEUTRAL
BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-05-29 · RTY
Positive gamma pin with bull bias at VAH 2940 RUT / 2944 RTY - all confirmed DTEs positive GEX, vanna magnet at 2941, call wall at 2940, positive color strengthening pin into close. Bull gate: accept above 2944 RTY = 2964/2979 targets. Bear gate: reject from 2944, break 2929 anti-magnet = VPOC test 2929 then gamma flip 2914.
OPEN AUCTION · NEUTRAL
BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-05-29 · RTY
Positive gamma pin with bull bias at VAH 2940 RUT / 2944 RTY - all confirmed DTEs positive GEX, vanna magnet at 2941, call wall at 2940, positive color strengthening pin into close. Bull gate: accept above 2944 RTY = 2964/2979 targets. Bear gate: reject from 2944, break 2929 anti-magnet = VPOC test 2929 then gamma flip 2914.
OPEN AUCTION · NEUTRAL
BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-05-29 · RTY
Positive gamma pin with bull bias at VAH 2940 RUT / 2944 RTY - all confirmed DTEs positive GEX, vanna magnet at 2941, call wall at 2940, positive color strengthening pin into close. Bull gate: accept above 2944 RTY = 2964/2979 targets. Bear gate: reject from 2944, break 2929 anti-magnet = VPOC test 2929 then gamma flip 2914.
OPEN AUCTION · NEUTRAL
BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-05-28 · NQ
NQ at gamma flip with vanna upgrade (SHORT->LONG flip) but structurally messy: 0DTE negative GEX, charm 2.17x bearish, IV not crushed (Q1 maintained). Range 29840-30080, bias toward lower half. Vanna supports test of 30000-30070 but EOD gravity reverses it.
OPEN TEST DRIVE · NORMAL
NEUTRALTRANSITION
2026-05-28 · NQ
NQ at gamma flip with vanna upgrade (SHORT->LONG flip) but structurally messy: 0DTE negative GEX, charm 2.17x bearish, IV not crushed (Q1 maintained). Range 29840-30080, bias toward lower half. Vanna supports test of 30000-30070 but EOD gravity reverses it.
OPEN TEST DRIVE · NORMAL
NEUTRALTRANSITION
2026-05-28 · ES
PCE confirmed in-line; IV crushed Q1-to-Q4; vanna surged +160% above avg; Color +7,493 creates dominant EOD pin toward ES 7540/SPX 7530 call wall. Hold ES 7510 mechanical floor and session closes near ES 7530-7540.
OPEN TEST DRIVE · NORMAL
BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-05-28 · ES
PCE confirmed in-line; IV crushed Q1-to-Q4; vanna surged +160% above avg; Color +7,493 creates dominant EOD pin toward ES 7540/SPX 7530 call wall. Hold ES 7510 mechanical floor and session closes near ES 7530-7540.
OPEN TEST DRIVE · NORMAL
BULLISHPOSITIVE
OpenGamma Intelligence · Schema v1.1.0This brief is not investment advice.