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Edition · Thursday, May 28, 2026·Archived · 3d ago · historical·28 May 2026 13:56 UTC

RTYPOSITIVE

Spot2914.00Futures2918.00Basis+4.00SessionINTRADAY_RESCAN
Dealer Regime
POSITIVE gamma ALL confirmed DTEs (0/1/6). 1DTE (May 29) dominant at $2.61M = 78% of total $3.34M. Price at RTY 2918 - below 0DTE HVL RTY 2924. Spike to 2926 failed to hold. VANNA REGIME FLIP: SHORT -2,129 pre-market to EXTREME LONG +9,021 = structural bull shift. Negative GEX amplification zone at RTY 2894-2879.
NetGEX $3.3MRisk LOW
Opening Type
OPEN TEST DRIVE
Conf 55%Day NORMALGAP UP
Share Card
Accuracy Ledger18 logged · 16 scored81% hit rateBest · HVL 100%Full ledger ↓
Desk Thesis · 2026-05-28

PCE confirmed in-line; vanna flipped extreme long (+9,021); hold RTY 2924 on open and the session resolves toward RTY 2931-2944 - fail that level and anti-magnet cascade takes RTY to 2899-2884.

PCE confirmed in-line. IV crushed from 229% to 90.37%. Vanna flipped EXTREME LONG (VHI +9,021 vs pre-market -2,129 = +11,150 swing). Price at RTY 2918 - below 0DTE HVL 2924 after spike-and-reject to 2926. RTH open is the decision point: hold above RTY 2924 = vanna magnetic pull to 2928-2934 (primary magnet) and 2944 (1DTE call wall). Fail below RTY 2914 = vanna void + neg GEX zone cascade to 2899-2884. Color +1,024 creates strong EOD pin after 13:00 ET toward 2924-2944. LBF INACTIVE but tensionIndex elevated to 3/4 conditions. Range/pin thesis governs.

Level Map

Confluence-ranked · distances from spot 2914.00
RTY
RUT
Level
Action · Distance
RTY2944.00
RUT2940.00
CALL WALLRTY 2944 (RUT 2940) 1DTE CALL WALL - PRIMARY SESSION BULL TARGET
TAKE_PROFIT_NEAR+0.89% · conf 93 · $426.7K
RTY2934.00
RUT2930.00
DOMINANT ANCHORRTY 2934 (RUT 2930) PRIMARY VANNA MAGNET - SESSION BULL TARGET
TAKE_PROFIT_NEAR+0.55% · conf 91 · $115.8K
RTY2928.00
RUT2924.00
DOMINANT ANCHORRTY 2928 (RUT 2924) VANNA MAGNET #2 - FIRST BULL PULL TARGET
BUY_ON_HOLD+0.34% · conf 82 · $97.4K
RTY2924.00
RUT2920.00
GEX MAGNETRTY 2924 (RUT 2920) 0DTE HVL + CALL WALL - BULL ACTIVATION / SESSION FULCRUM
WAIT_FOR_HOLD+0.21% · conf 96 · $87.0K
RTY2919.00
RUT2915.00
NEG GEX TRIGGERRTY 2919 (RUT 2915) VANNA ANTI-MAGNET - AT CURRENT PRICE - INSTABILITY ZONE
WATCH+0.03% · conf 78 · $187.4K
SPOT
RTY2918.00
RUT2914.00
Range 2866.00–2982.00
RTY2914.00
RUT2910.00
DOMINANT ANCHORRTY 2914 (RUT 2910) VANNA VOID ENTRY - BEAR GATE
SHORT_BELOW-0.14% · conf 88 · $242.6K
RTY2899.00
RUT2895.00
HVL FLOORRTY 2899 (RUT 2895) 1DTE HVL - SECONDARY BEAR SUPPORT
BUY_ON_HOLD-0.65% · conf 80 · $176.9K
RTY2884.00
RUT2880.00
PUT WALLRTY 2884 (RUT 2880) PUT WALL + VOL TRIGGER + CHARM -1B - BEAR TARGET
WATCH-1.17% · conf 90 · $64.9K
RTY2879.00
RUT2875.00
GAMMA FLIPRTY 2879 (RUT 2875) 1DTE GAMMA FLIP - STRUCTURAL BREAKDOWN
SHORT_BELOW-1.34% · conf 82 · $0
RTY2869.00
RUT2865.00
STRUCTURAL FLOORRTY 2869 (RUT 2865) GAP FILL + 1DTE GEX FLOOR - DEEP BEAR
BUY_ON_HOLD-1.68% · conf 86 · $236.8K

Level Reaction

Intraday tape · RTY · 2026-05-28
Loading session tape…

Greek Pressure

Dealer directional forces · next session
GAMMA
UP · 82

POSITIVE gamma all confirmed DTEs. Total 3.34M. 1DTE dominant $2.61M (78%). 0DTE $587K. 6DTE $147K. All DTEs positive. Price at 0DTE HVL 2924 RTY. Above 2924 = full dampening. Below 2924 = transitional, approaching neg GEX zone 2894-2879.

VANNA
UP · 95

EXTREME LONG VANNA - REGIME FLIP FROM PRE-MARKET. VHI +9,021 vs avg +1,501 = +7,520 above average. WAS SHORT -2,129 pre-market (+11,150 swing). DOMINANT anti-magnet: RUT 2909.7 (-8,818) = RTY 2913.7 (below current). Local anti-magnet: RUT 2915.5 (-2,096) = RTY 2919.5 (AT current price). PRIMARY LONG MAGNET: RUT 2930.2 (+8,356) = RTY 2934.2. Net force: STRONGLY UP once HVL 2924 cleared.

CHARM
UP · 60

Net -2.9B negative charm but BALANCED path (1.37x below-spot vs 1.6x pre-market). Above-spot charm attractors at RUT 2975 (+1.87B) and 2955 (+1.03B) and 2945 (+800M) = strong EOD upward pull. Below-spot primary: RUT 2880 (-1.03B negative) = bear target zone. Balanced overall = EOD pin toward call cluster 2944-2975 via charm + color.

COLOR
UP · 88

Color +1,024. STRONG EOD pin today (0DTE expiry). After 13:00 ET, dominant 0DTE GEX clusters at 2920/2945/2955/2975 pull price toward this zone. Second only to RTY pre-market Color +948. Fade any moves away from 2924-2944 after 13:30 ET.

SPEED
DOWN · 68

Speed -0.118. Gamma FALLS as price rises (upside self-dampening above HVL). Gamma RISES as price falls (downside amplification in neg GEX zone 2894-2879). Same asymmetry as pre-market: bull is gentle, bear is violent.

VOMMA
DOWN · 72

NEGATIVE VOMMA - vol compression confirmed. IV will continue decaying from 90% toward lower levels through session. PCE event is over. Negative vomma = fade vol bids. Supports long delta regime and gamma pin dynamics. No further vol spike expected absent fresh catalyst.

ZOMMA
UP · 45

Zomma +10.94. Moderate positive. GEX increases with vol. Less extreme than pre-market. No exceptional vol-GEX feedback loop. Normal session behavior post-event.

Higher-Order

Second + third-order greeks
color
LATENT
1024.139

EOD pin gravity +1,024. TODAY is 0DTE expiry. After 13:00 ET, dominant 0DTE GEX clusters at 2920/2945/2955/2975 pull price toward 2924-2944 zone. Do not fight pin in final 2 hours.

speed
LATENT
-0.118

Gamma FALLS as price rises (upside self-dampening above HVL 2924). Gamma RISES as price falls (STRONG downside amplification below 2914). Asymmetric: bull is gentle grind, bear is fast cascade through neg GEX zone.

vomma
LATENT
-216.149

NEGATIVE vomma = vol compression. PCE event completed - IV will decay throughout session from 90% toward lower levels. Confirms no further vol spike expected. Long delta / positive GEX bias is correct regime.

zomma
LATENT
10.940

Moderate positive zomma. GEX increases with vol but not extreme. Not armed. Normal post-event session behavior.

IV Intelligence

Quadrant · skew · term structure
Regime Quadrant
Q4 Complacent - post-PCE vol crush. 0DTE IV 90.37% at 38.3%ile - below average. Normal put skew restored. IV will continue to decay through session.
ATM IV90.4%
IV Percentile38
Skew Pctile27
Skew ShapeSMIRK
Expected Daily Move±2.00% / ±2.00%
Term Structure
0DTE POST EVENT CRUSH — BACKWARDATION — stress premium in front
0DTE (2026-05-28, 90.37%, 38.3%ile, Q4 - post-PCE vol crush from 229%)
7DTE (2026-06-04, 21.86%, 0.1%ile, Q3 - extreme multi-week complacency)
30DTE (18.71%, 0.1%ile, Q3 - multi-week complacency)
FRONT MID BACK

Cross-Asset Confirmation / Component Confluence

CONFIRMING · COMPLETE
4 native levels received secondary cross-asset confirmation. Strongest alignment sits around 2914.00 via component confluence zones.

Native futures levels stay primary. Use ETF conversions as corroboration and component zones as provisional structure only, especially when the overlay is partial or quality flags are present.

Secondary confirmation only. Native index and MCP levels remain primary. MCP-native individual stock Greek scans are unavailable; if component confluence is attached it was produced by the system-level Polygon overlay path and remains opt-in, secondary, and provisional rather than an executable native futures level. Component weights are static/proxy unless explicitly holdings-confirmed, beta may be defaulted to 1.0, and TOP_10 lists should not be treated as quantitatively ranked until liquidity plus holdings/beta calibration are implemented.

Native Levels Confirmed

4 matched levels
DOMINANT ANCHOR
19 conf
2914.00
RTY 2914 (RUT 2910) VANNA VOID ENTRY - BEAR GATE

RTY 2914 (RUT 2910) VANNA VOID ENTRY - BEAR GATE is secondarily confirmed by 3-stock zone 2911.76-2916.14.

COMP 2
NEG GEX TRIGGER
19 conf
2919.00
RTY 2919 (RUT 2915) VANNA ANTI-MAGNET - AT CURRENT PRICE - INSTABILITY ZONE

RTY 2919 (RUT 2915) VANNA ANTI-MAGNET - AT CURRENT PRICE - INSTABILITY ZONE is secondarily confirmed by 3-stock zone 2911.76-2916.14.

COMP 2
HVL
18 conf
2924.00
RTY 2924 (RUT 2920) 0DTE HVL + CALL WALL - BULL ACTIVATION / SESSION FULCRUM

RTY 2924 (RUT 2920) 0DTE HVL + CALL WALL - BULL ACTIVATION / SESSION FULCRUM is secondarily confirmed by 14-stock zone 2914.48-2923.98.

COMP 2
DOMINANT ANCHOR
18 conf
2928.00
RTY 2928 (RUT 2924) VANNA MAGNET #2 - FIRST BULL PULL TARGET

RTY 2928 (RUT 2924) VANNA MAGNET #2 - FIRST BULL PULL TARGET is secondarily confirmed by 14-stock zone 2914.48-2923.98.

COMP 1

ETF Confirmation Levels

IWM ratio-converted
No ETF ratio confirmations were retained.Missing ETF spot or source coverage can suppress this list on bounded runs.

Component Confluence Zones

Provisional only
PUT_SUPPORT
0.42
2911.76 - 2916.14
center 2913.95 · 3 names · DTE 8

3-stock put-support confluence cluster centered 2913.95. Provisional component estimate, not a native executable level.

PUT_SUPPORT
0.40
2910.92 - 2916.29
center 2913.48 · 6 names · DTE 1

6-stock put-support confluence cluster centered 2913.48. Provisional component estimate, not a native executable level.

CALL_WALL
0.40
2914.48 - 2923.98
center 2918.97 · 14 names · DTE 8

14-stock call-side confluence cluster centered 2918.97. Provisional component estimate, not a native executable level.

CALL_WALL
0.40
2911.91 - 2923.51
center 2918.57 · 13 names · DTE 1

13-stock call-side confluence cluster centered 2918.57. Provisional component estimate, not a native executable level.

Cautions

Quality-aware language
  • Component zones rely on static/proxy weights rather than holdings-confirmed weights and stay secondary to native futures levels.
  • At least one component projection defaulted beta to 1.0, so component-zone placement is approximate.
  • Source coverage was degraded by quote gaps or pagination truncation, so missing confirmations are not a signal by themselves.
  • Parts of the overlay could not be converted onto the futures axis because a required live price was unavailable.
  • One or more component zones were built from a small contributor set and should be treated as provisional only.
  • MCP-native individual stock Greek scans are unavailable. If component zones are attached, they come from the system-level Polygon overlay path and remain secondary/provisional to native index and MCP levels.

Overlay Diagnostics

Runtime 37s
  • LIGHTER_SELECTION_PATH: using static seed order for this overlay run to avoid a duplicate liquidity pre-scan before component resolution.
  • ETF_SOURCE: contracts:PAGINATION_REQUIRED
  • COMPONENT_SOURCE: Selected universe uses STATIC_SEED_FALLBACK and HOLDINGS_STALE until issuer/provider holdings adapters exist.
  • COMPONENT_SOURCE: Using static seed order for this run to avoid a duplicate liquidity pre-scan before component source resolution.
  • MISSING_ETF_SPOT: cannot convert IWM CALL_WALL
  • MISSING_ETF_SPOT: cannot convert IWM PUT_WALL

LBF Status

Look-Below-And-Fail · conditions armed
Above H V L
Vix Confirmation
Vanna Confirmation
Sustained Directional Flow
NOT ARMED · 1/3 conditions
3
Tension Index

Accuracy Log

Outcomes · last 18 levels scored
DateSymbolLevelPredictedOutcomeNotes
2026-04-20RTYHVL@ 2796.00LONG_ABOVEHITRTY opened 2777.00, printed a 30-minute close of 2791.90, then reclaimed and held above 2796. Session high reached 2809.30 and close finished 2807.60, confirming the upside pivot break.
2026-04-17RTYCALL WALL@ 2782.00Fade at post-pin continuation targetMISSEDPrice never reached 2782 — pinned tight at 2773
2026-04-17RTYPUT FLOOR@ 2752.00Bear trigger — clean break = cascadeHELDSession low was 2762 — never tested 2752
2026-04-17RTYDOMINANT ANCHOR@ 2775.00OPEX PIN — consolidate at IWM 275 into 4PM closeHITClosed RTY 2773.5. OPEX pin held perfectly.
2026-04-16RTYCALL WALL@ 2756.00First target on 2736 longHITTarget hit cleanly ~12:30 ET
2026-04-16RTYGAMMA FLIP@ 2764.00ATH amplifier gate — sustained break = accelerationREJECTEDTagged 2761.5 (ATH) but failed to sustain above 2764 flip
2026-04-16RTYDOMINANT ANCHOR@ 2736.00Bull gate: 2736 IB accept = long triggerHITAccepted 2736 on 15-min bar, ran to 2756 by noon
2026-04-15RTYHVL@ 2679.00Gamma flip gate — hold = bull regimeHELDNever tested — session stayed above 2705
2026-04-15RTYVANNA MAGNET@ 2722.00Vol compression pulls to vanna magnetHITRTY tagged 2722.5 within first 45 min of RTH
2026-04-15RTYCALL WALL@ 2737.00Dominant call wall — fade atREJECTEDTested 2736.5, rejected twice; closed 2725
2026-04-15RTYGAMMA FLIP@ 2732.00Regime flip on reclaimMISSEDRejected twice then price broke lower — flip never reclaimed
2026-04-15RTYPUT FLOOR@ 2710.00Absorption — put wall defendsABSORBEDIntraday -$159K flipped to +$147K, held on two tests
2026-04-15RTYCALL WALL@ 2725.00Fade at 2725 — vanna-sandwich lidREJECTEDRejected 2724.8 high, closed 2716
2026-04-14RTYDOMINANT ANCHOR@ 2672.00Gamma peak gravity center — buy on testPENDINGPrice never reached — held above 2687
2026-04-14RTYHVL@ 2687.00HVL support — buy on testHELDHeld intraday; 2687 was low of the day before bounce
2026-04-14RTYCALL WALL@ 2702.00Fade at dominant call wallREJECTEDRejected 2703.5 high multiple times; RTY consolidated 2685–2700 all day
2026-04-13RTYGAMMA FLIP@ 2564.50Bull thesis invalidationHELDNever traded near this level; tariff rally ensued
2026-04-13RTYHVL@ 2641.505-min hold = long trigger to VPOC 2663PENDING
Total Logged18
Scored16
Hit Rate81%
Best Level TypeHVL 100%

Archive

Recent editions
2026-05-29 · NQ
NQ is the higher-beta, higher-cascade-risk instrument. Anti-magnet band at 29997-30178 NDX (30073-30254 NQ) surrounds current spot. Vanna magnet at 30300 NDX (30376 NQ) pulls upward on vol compression. Bull gate: 30376 NQ then HVL 30516 then call wall 30626. Bear gate: 30176 NQ (put wall/top neg GEX) ? anti-magnet cascade through 30073-30164 NQ ? 30036 (put wall) ? gap 29617 NQ.
OPEN AUCTION · NEUTRAL
NEUTRALPOSITIVE
2026-05-29 · ES
Massive positive gamma pin with bull bias. 7600 SPX / 7610 ES is triple-DTE call wall and 7DTE HVL - the structural ceiling of the day. Friday charm C/G ratio 607 (rising) pulls ES toward 7650-7660 charm magnet into close. Short/destabilizing vanna (VHI -983K) means vol expansion could overcome the pin. Bull gate: 7610 ES acceptance ? 7630/7660. Bear gate: 7585 ES (HVL) rejection ? 7550 put wall, 7497 gap/gamma flip zone.
OPEN AUCTION · NEUTRAL
BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-05-29 · RTY
Positive gamma pin with bull bias at VAH 2940 RUT / 2944 RTY - all confirmed DTEs positive GEX, vanna magnet at 2941, call wall at 2940, positive color strengthening pin into close. Bull gate: accept above 2944 RTY = 2964/2979 targets. Bear gate: reject from 2944, break 2929 anti-magnet = VPOC test 2929 then gamma flip 2914.
OPEN AUCTION · NEUTRAL
BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-05-29 · RTY
Positive gamma pin with bull bias at VAH 2940 RUT / 2944 RTY - all confirmed DTEs positive GEX, vanna magnet at 2941, call wall at 2940, positive color strengthening pin into close. Bull gate: accept above 2944 RTY = 2964/2979 targets. Bear gate: reject from 2944, break 2929 anti-magnet = VPOC test 2929 then gamma flip 2914.
OPEN AUCTION · NEUTRAL
BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-05-29 · RTY
Positive gamma pin with bull bias at VAH 2940 RUT / 2944 RTY - all confirmed DTEs positive GEX, vanna magnet at 2941, call wall at 2940, positive color strengthening pin into close. Bull gate: accept above 2944 RTY = 2964/2979 targets. Bear gate: reject from 2944, break 2929 anti-magnet = VPOC test 2929 then gamma flip 2914.
OPEN AUCTION · NEUTRAL
BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-05-28 · NQ
NQ at gamma flip with vanna upgrade (SHORT->LONG flip) but structurally messy: 0DTE negative GEX, charm 2.17x bearish, IV not crushed (Q1 maintained). Range 29840-30080, bias toward lower half. Vanna supports test of 30000-30070 but EOD gravity reverses it.
OPEN TEST DRIVE · NORMAL
NEUTRALTRANSITION
2026-05-28 · NQ
NQ at gamma flip with vanna upgrade (SHORT->LONG flip) but structurally messy: 0DTE negative GEX, charm 2.17x bearish, IV not crushed (Q1 maintained). Range 29840-30080, bias toward lower half. Vanna supports test of 30000-30070 but EOD gravity reverses it.
OPEN TEST DRIVE · NORMAL
NEUTRALTRANSITION
2026-05-28 · ES
PCE confirmed in-line; IV crushed Q1-to-Q4; vanna surged +160% above avg; Color +7,493 creates dominant EOD pin toward ES 7540/SPX 7530 call wall. Hold ES 7510 mechanical floor and session closes near ES 7530-7540.
OPEN TEST DRIVE · NORMAL
BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-05-28 · ES
PCE confirmed in-line; IV crushed Q1-to-Q4; vanna surged +160% above avg; Color +7,493 creates dominant EOD pin toward ES 7540/SPX 7530 call wall. Hold ES 7510 mechanical floor and session closes near ES 7530-7540.
OPEN TEST DRIVE · NORMAL
BULLISHPOSITIVE
OpenGamma Intelligence · Schema v1.1.0This brief is not investment advice.