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Edition · Friday, May 29, 2026·Archived · 2d ago · historical·29 May 2026 17:31 UTC

NQPOSITIVE

Spot30272.00Futures30348.00Basis+76.00SessionREGULAR
Dealer Regime
Positive Gamma - LOW risk. BUT thin structure. NQ sitting inside anti-magnet band.
NetGEX $9.2MRisk LOW
Opening Type
OPEN AUCTION
Conf 50%Day NEUTRALGAP UP
Share Card
Accuracy Ledger2 logged · 2 scored50% hit rateFull ledger ↓
Desk Thesis · 2026-05-29

NQ is the higher-beta, higher-cascade-risk instrument. Anti-magnet band at 29997-30178 NDX (30073-30254 NQ) surrounds current spot. Vanna magnet at 30300 NDX (30376 NQ) pulls upward on vol compression. Bull gate: 30376 NQ then HVL 30516 then call wall 30626. Bear gate: 30176 NQ (put wall/top neg GEX) ? anti-magnet cascade through 30073-30164 NQ ? 30036 (put wall) ? gap 29617 NQ.

NQ is the lead cascade index (short destabilizing vanna, anti-magnet band at spot). Bull: above 30376 (30300 NDX vanna magnet) ? 30516 HVL ? 30626 call wall. Bear: 30176 loss ? anti-magnet cascade 30164-30073 ? 30036 put wall ? 29617 gap. Confirm with ES direction.

Level Map

Confluence-ranked · distances from spot 30272.00
NQ
NDX
Level
Action · Distance
NQ31076.00
NDX31000.00
CALL WALL3DTE call wall, confluence score 3, charm growth +8.8. Weekly structural ceiling.
WATCH+2.40% · conf 45
NQ30776.00
NDX30700.00
CALL WALL7DTE call wall, charm growth +5.9
WATCH+1.41% · conf 40
NQ30626.00
NDX30550.00
DOMINANT ANCHOR0DTE dominant call wall +$1.76M, pure calls, charm +5.3, confluence score 3. Bull target.
WATCH+0.92% · conf 75
NQ30516.00
NDX30440.00
GEX MAGNET0DTE HVL / Gamma Neutral - must clear for sustained bull momentum
WATCH+0.55% · conf 60
NQ30466.00
NDX30390.00
GEX MAGNET3DTE HVL
WATCH+0.39% · conf 40
NQ30406.00
NDX30330.00
VANNA MAGNETSecondary vanna magnet VHI +5,495
WATCH+0.19% · conf 60
NQ30376.00
NDX30300.00
VANNA MAGNETDOMINANT vanna magnet VHI +16,740. Confluence score 3 all DTEs. +$660K GEX. Vol compression pulls NDX here.
WATCH+0.09% · conf 75
SPOT
NQ30348.00
NDX30272.00
Range 29643.00–30957.00
NQ30254.00
NDX30178.00
VANNA ANTIMAGNETVanna anti-magnet VHI -7,981. Bottom of anti-magnet band.
WATCH-0.31% · conf 40
NQ30224.00
NDX30148.00
VANNA ANTIMAGNETVanna anti-magnet VHI -7,779. Current spot area.
WATCH-0.41% · conf 40
NQ30194.00
NDX30118.00
VANNA ANTIMAGNETVanna anti-magnet VHI -10,248
WATCH-0.51% · conf 40
NQ30176.00
NDX30100.00
PUT WALLTop neg GEX 3DTE/7DTE. Confluence score 3. Put wall 3DTE. BEAR TRIGGER.
WATCH-0.57% · conf 75
NQ30164.00
NDX30088.00
VANNA ANTIMAGNETSecond-strongest anti-magnet VHI -10,647. Cascade trigger.
WATCH-0.61% · conf 60
NQ30133.00
NDX30057.00
VANNA ANTIMAGNETAnti-magnet VHI -5,552. Band lower boundary.
WATCH-0.71% · conf 60
NQ30073.00
NDX29997.00
VANNA ANTIMAGNETSTRONGEST anti-magnet VHI -10,722. Primary bear cascade trigger on NDX/NQ.
WATCH-0.91% · conf 60
NQ30036.00
NDX29960.00
PUT WALL0DTE put wall, top negative GEX -$608K. Confluence score 3. Put wall all DTEs.
WATCH-1.03% · conf 75
NQ30006.00
NDX29930.00
STRUCTURAL FLOORConfluence score 2 (0+3 DTE)
WATCH-1.13% · conf 45
NQ29846.00
NDX29770.00
STRUCTURAL FLOORConfluence score 3 all DTEs
WATCH-1.65% · conf 50
NQ29716.00
NDX29640.00
NEG GEX TRIGGERMax charm decay zone (-3.37). Delta eroding fastest here. -1.93% from spot.
WATCH-2.08% · conf 40
NQ29617.00
NDX29541.00
NEG GEX TRIGGERSunday open gap close. Unfilled. Medium-term gravitational anchor. Within 1-sigma.
WATCH-2.41% · conf 55
NQ29176.00
NDX29100.00
PUT FLOORMax charm growth NDX (+10.6). Confluence score 3 all DTEs. Deep structural floor.
WATCH-3.86% · conf 50

Level Reaction

Intraday tape · NQ · 2026-05-29
Loading session tape…

Greek Pressure

Dealer directional forces · next session
GAMMA
COMPRESSION · 42

Modest +$9.2M net GEX. Thin chain (12,387 OI vs 665K for SPX). Easily overwhelmed. HVL at 30440 is above current spot - NDX has not entered full positive gamma damping zone yet.

CHARM
DOWN · 68

Net negative, path downward. BUT charm trend RISING. C/G ratio 4,107 (extremely high throughout) - charm completely dominates NDX. Below spot 19.1B >> above 9.4B. Growth above at 30550/30700/31000.

VANNA
DOWN · 85

SHORT/DESTABILIZING. VHI -22,504 vs avg -11,232 (double average, FALLING). Anti-magnet band 29997-30178 SURROUNDS current spot. NQ is the lead cascade index. Magnet at 30300 above spot pulls upward on vol compression.

VOMMA
DOWN · 25

Higher-order greeks not separately computed for NDX this session. Use SPX vomma (-36404) as directional proxy - vol expansion expected to reduce positive GEX effect across both instruments.

Higher-Order

Second + third-order greeks
color
LATENT
0.000

Not separately computed. SPX color +47642 confirms pin-strengthening environment for both instruments.

speed
LATENT
0.000

Not separately computed for NDX this session. Use SPX higher-order as directional proxy.

vomma
LATENT
0.000

Not computed. NDX thin chain means vomma effects are less material vs SPX.

zomma
LATENT
0.000

Not computed.

IV Intelligence

Quadrant · skew · term structure
Regime Quadrant
Q1_EXUBERANCE
ATM IVUnavailable
IV Percentile95
Skew Pctile97
Skew ShapeSMIRK
Expected Daily MoveNot captured
Term Structure
Not captured
Term structure not captured for this sessionExpected: ivRegime.termStructure as array of IV fractions per tenor (front/mid/back).

Cross-Asset Confirmation / Component Confluence

CONFIRMING · COMPLETE
4 native levels received secondary cross-asset confirmation. Strongest alignment sits around 30466.00 via ETF ratio levels and component confluence zones.

Native futures levels stay primary. Use ETF conversions as corroboration and component zones as provisional structure only, especially when the overlay is partial or quality flags are present.

Secondary confirmation only. Native index and MCP levels remain primary. MCP-native individual stock Greek scans are unavailable; if component confluence is attached it was produced by the system-level Polygon overlay path and remains opt-in, secondary, and provisional rather than an executable native futures level. Component weights are static/proxy unless explicitly holdings-confirmed, beta may be defaulted to 1.0, and TOP_10 lists should not be treated as quantitatively ranked until liquidity plus holdings/beta calibration are implemented.

Native Levels Confirmed

4 matched levels
HVL
63 conf
30466.00
3DTE HVL

3DTE HVL is secondarily confirmed by QQQ ratio level near 30488.27 and 2-stock zone 30379.69-30425.21.

ETF 3COMP 1
HVL
59 conf
30516.00
0DTE HVL / Gamma Neutral - must clear for sustained bull momentum

0DTE HVL / Gamma Neutral - must clear for sustained bull momentum is secondarily confirmed by QQQ ratio level near 30529.53 and 2-stock zone 30560.47-30605.99.

ETF 3COMP 1
DOMINANT ANCHOR
59 conf
30626.00
0DTE dominant call wall +$1.76M, pure calls, charm +5.3, confluence score 3. Bull target.

0DTE dominant call wall +$1.76M, pure calls, charm +5.3, confluence score 3. Bull target. is secondarily confirmed by QQQ ratio level near 30612.04 and 2-stock zone 30560.47-30605.99.

ETF 3COMP 1
VANNA ANTIMAGNET
19 conf
30133.00
Anti-magnet VHI -5,552. Band lower boundary.

Anti-magnet VHI -5,552. Band lower boundary. is secondarily confirmed by 3-stock zone 30174.93-30220.45.

COMP 2

ETF Confirmation Levels

QQQ ratio-converted
QQQ
0.85
30942.09
CALL_WALL · DTE 0

QQQ ratio-converted CALL_WALL at 30942.09 (DTE 0). Secondary confirmation only.

QQQ
0.85
29085.56
PUT_WALL · DTE 0

QQQ ratio-converted PUT_WALL at 29085.56 (DTE 0). Secondary confirmation only.

QQQ
0.85
29085.56
PUT_SUPPORT · DTE 0

QQQ ratio-converted PUT_SUPPORT at 29085.56 (DTE 0). Secondary confirmation only.

QQQ
0.85
29085.56
PUT_FLOOR · DTE 0

QQQ ratio-converted PUT_FLOOR at 29085.56 (DTE 0). Secondary confirmation only.

Component Confluence Zones

Provisional only
PUT_SUPPORT
0.42
30174.93 - 30220.45
center 30197.69 · 3 names · DTE 7

3-stock put-support confluence cluster centered 30197.69. Provisional component estimate, not a native executable level.

PUT_SUPPORT
0.40
30293.13 - 30363.23
center 30332.13 · 9 names · DTE 0

9-stock put-support confluence cluster centered 30332.13. Provisional component estimate, not a native executable level.

CALL_WALL
0.40
30313.32 - 30416.46
center 30362.54 · 11 names · DTE 0

11-stock call-side confluence cluster centered 30362.54. Provisional component estimate, not a native executable level.

CALL_WALL
0.39
30327.38 - 30398.65
center 30359.48 · 9 names · DTE 5

9-stock call-side confluence cluster centered 30359.48. Provisional component estimate, not a native executable level.

Cautions

Quality-aware language
  • Component zones rely on static/proxy weights rather than holdings-confirmed weights and stay secondary to native futures levels.
  • At least one component projection defaulted beta to 1.0, so component-zone placement is approximate.
  • Source coverage was degraded by quote gaps or pagination truncation, so missing confirmations are not a signal by themselves.
  • One or more component zones were built from a small contributor set and should be treated as provisional only.
  • MCP-native individual stock Greek scans are unavailable. If component zones are attached, they come from the system-level Polygon overlay path and remain secondary/provisional to native index and MCP levels.

Overlay Diagnostics

Runtime 55s
  • LIGHTER_SELECTION_PATH: using static seed order for this overlay run to avoid a duplicate liquidity pre-scan before component resolution.
  • ETF_SOURCE: contracts:PAGINATION_REQUIRED
  • ETF_SOURCE: contracts:PAGINATION_TRUNCATED
  • COMPONENT_SOURCE: Selected universe uses STATIC_SEED_FALLBACK and HOLDINGS_STALE until issuer/provider holdings adapters exist.
  • COMPONENT_SOURCE: Using static seed order for this run to avoid a duplicate liquidity pre-scan before component source resolution.

LBF Status

Look-Below-And-Fail · conditions armed
Charm Dominant
Vanna Cascade Active
Gamma Regime Negative
Vol Trigger Proximity
Anti Magnet Band At Spot
Short Vanna Destabilizing
NOT ARMED · 4/3 conditions
25
Tension Index

Accuracy Log

Outcomes · last 2 levels scored
DateSymbolLevelPredictedOutcomeNotes
2026-04-20NQDOMINANT ANCHOR@ 26831.00FADE_ATHELDHigh print was 26827.00, four points shy of the 26831 anchor. The ceiling held and the contract closed back below at 26774.50.
2026-04-20NQPUT FLOOR@ 26689.00BUY_ON_TESTABSORBEDNQ broke below first support to 26593.75, but the move did not extend to 26499 structural support. The contract recovered and closed 26774.50, so the downside strike occurred but was ultimately absorbed.
Total Logged2
Scored2
Hit Rate50%
Best Level Type

Archive

Recent editions
2026-05-29 · NQ
NQ is the higher-beta, higher-cascade-risk instrument. Anti-magnet band at 29997-30178 NDX (30073-30254 NQ) surrounds current spot. Vanna magnet at 30300 NDX (30376 NQ) pulls upward on vol compression. Bull gate: 30376 NQ then HVL 30516 then call wall 30626. Bear gate: 30176 NQ (put wall/top neg GEX) ? anti-magnet cascade through 30073-30164 NQ ? 30036 (put wall) ? gap 29617 NQ.
OPEN AUCTION · NEUTRAL
NEUTRALPOSITIVE
2026-05-29 · ES
Massive positive gamma pin with bull bias. 7600 SPX / 7610 ES is triple-DTE call wall and 7DTE HVL - the structural ceiling of the day. Friday charm C/G ratio 607 (rising) pulls ES toward 7650-7660 charm magnet into close. Short/destabilizing vanna (VHI -983K) means vol expansion could overcome the pin. Bull gate: 7610 ES acceptance ? 7630/7660. Bear gate: 7585 ES (HVL) rejection ? 7550 put wall, 7497 gap/gamma flip zone.
OPEN AUCTION · NEUTRAL
BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-05-29 · RTY
Positive gamma pin with bull bias at VAH 2940 RUT / 2944 RTY - all confirmed DTEs positive GEX, vanna magnet at 2941, call wall at 2940, positive color strengthening pin into close. Bull gate: accept above 2944 RTY = 2964/2979 targets. Bear gate: reject from 2944, break 2929 anti-magnet = VPOC test 2929 then gamma flip 2914.
OPEN AUCTION · NEUTRAL
BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-05-29 · RTY
Positive gamma pin with bull bias at VAH 2940 RUT / 2944 RTY - all confirmed DTEs positive GEX, vanna magnet at 2941, call wall at 2940, positive color strengthening pin into close. Bull gate: accept above 2944 RTY = 2964/2979 targets. Bear gate: reject from 2944, break 2929 anti-magnet = VPOC test 2929 then gamma flip 2914.
OPEN AUCTION · NEUTRAL
BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-05-29 · RTY
Positive gamma pin with bull bias at VAH 2940 RUT / 2944 RTY - all confirmed DTEs positive GEX, vanna magnet at 2941, call wall at 2940, positive color strengthening pin into close. Bull gate: accept above 2944 RTY = 2964/2979 targets. Bear gate: reject from 2944, break 2929 anti-magnet = VPOC test 2929 then gamma flip 2914.
OPEN AUCTION · NEUTRAL
BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-05-28 · NQ
NQ at gamma flip with vanna upgrade (SHORT->LONG flip) but structurally messy: 0DTE negative GEX, charm 2.17x bearish, IV not crushed (Q1 maintained). Range 29840-30080, bias toward lower half. Vanna supports test of 30000-30070 but EOD gravity reverses it.
OPEN TEST DRIVE · NORMAL
NEUTRALTRANSITION
2026-05-28 · NQ
NQ at gamma flip with vanna upgrade (SHORT->LONG flip) but structurally messy: 0DTE negative GEX, charm 2.17x bearish, IV not crushed (Q1 maintained). Range 29840-30080, bias toward lower half. Vanna supports test of 30000-30070 but EOD gravity reverses it.
OPEN TEST DRIVE · NORMAL
NEUTRALTRANSITION
2026-05-28 · ES
PCE confirmed in-line; IV crushed Q1-to-Q4; vanna surged +160% above avg; Color +7,493 creates dominant EOD pin toward ES 7540/SPX 7530 call wall. Hold ES 7510 mechanical floor and session closes near ES 7530-7540.
OPEN TEST DRIVE · NORMAL
BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-05-28 · ES
PCE confirmed in-line; IV crushed Q1-to-Q4; vanna surged +160% above avg; Color +7,493 creates dominant EOD pin toward ES 7540/SPX 7530 call wall. Hold ES 7510 mechanical floor and session closes near ES 7530-7540.
OPEN TEST DRIVE · NORMAL
BULLISHPOSITIVE
OpenGamma Intelligence · Schema v1.1.0This brief is not investment advice.