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Edition · Monday, July 6, 2026·Archived · 10d ago · historical·06 Jul 2026 12:08 UTC

RTYNEGATIVE

Spot3016.00SessionREGULAR
Dealer Regime
NEGATIVE_GAMMA_ROTATION
NetGEX -$61Risk MODERATE
Opening Type
OPEN AUCTION
Conf 45%
Share Card
Accuracy Ledger18 logged · 16 scored81% hit rateBest · HVL 100%Full ledger ↓
Desk Thesis · 2026-07-06

RTY is in negative gamma across the whole 0-7DTE curve with an immediate vanna antimagnet sitting right at live spot on two independent rails, and a magnet-then-antimagnet ceiling roughly 10-35pts above -- a structure that favors rotation/chop within the balance over a clean trend, matching the user's continued-rotation expectation.

Treat today as a rotation day first: fade extremes of the 2996-3036 range back toward the 3011-3026 pivot zone rather than chasing a breakout; only respect a directional move on a clean clear of 3046 (up) or a convincing break below 3000/2996 (down, opening a path to the 2956 put wall).

Level Map

Confluence-ranked · distances from spot 3016.00
RTY
RUT
Level
Action · Distance
RTY3046.03
RUT3030.03
VANNA ANTIMAGNETIWM 1DTE strongest vanna antimagnet, vanna -1479.5 (RUT 3030.03) -- structural ceiling, co-located with chart VAH
WATCH+1.00% · conf 2
RTY3025.90
RUT3009.90
VANNA MAGNETIWM 1DTE call wall + strongest vanna magnet, vanna +2549.2 (RUT 3009.90)
WATCH+0.33% · conf 3
RTY3022.57
RUT3006.57
GAMMA FLIPNative 0DTE Gamma Neutral, rootStability clean (RUT 3006.57)
WATCH+0.22% · conf 3
SPOT
RTY3016.00
RUT3016.00
Range 2985.10–3046.90
3016.00
VANNA ANTIMAGNETRUT-native + IWM fixed1m antimagnets both co-located at live spot
WATCH+0.00% · conf 2
RTY2996.00
RUT2980.00
PUT WALLNative 1DTE put wall (RUT 2980)
WATCH-0.66% · conf 1
RTY2956.00
RUT2940.00
PUT FLOORCumulative agg0to21 put wall, deepest OI in the book (7497 contracts) (RUT 2940)
WATCH-1.99% · conf 3
RTY2916.00
RUT2900.00
PUT WALLNative 7DTE put wall, credible OI 290 (RUT 2900)
WATCH-3.32% · conf 2

Level Reaction

Intraday tape · RTY · 2026-07-06
Loading session tape…

Greek Pressure

Dealer directional forces · next session
GAMMA
DOWN · 70

0DTE book net short-gamma (call GEX +89.0M vs put -149.5M); live spot sits 6.6pts below the native 0DTE Gamma Neutral -- negative gamma, and the multi-DTE heatmap confirms negative netGEX at every explicit tenor through 7DTE.

VANNA
UP · 55

netVanna flipped from destabilizing-negative (-70 to -234 most of the morning) to stabilizing-positive (+300 to +550) around 10:32Z, currently +530.3; RUT-native vanna magnitudes are noise-level, IWM rail carries the real structure -- a magnet-then-antimagnet ceiling roughly 10-35pts above spot.

CHARM
NEUTRAL · 25

netCharmDaily built to a ~47k peak mid-morning then dropped sharply and has been noisy near zero since (briefly negative) -- no clean charm-flow bias today, unlike the synchronized-positive charm read on SPX/NDX this morning.

VOMMA
UP · 45

netVomma positive, vol-of-vol amplifying; consistent with the destabilizing pockets sitting both at spot (fixed1m) and at the 3046 ceiling (1DTE).

Higher-Order

Second + third-order greeks
color
LATENT
6734.810

speed
LATENT
3590.670

vomma
LATENT
498279.880

zomma
LATENT
-0.109

IV Intelligence

Quadrant · skew · term structure
Regime Quadrant
Not captured
ATM IVUnavailable
IV Percentile25
Skew Pctile50
Skew ShapeNORMAL
Expected Daily Move±1.03% / ±1.03%
Term Structure
Not captured
Term structure not captured for this sessionExpected: ivRegime.termStructure as array of IV fractions per tenor (front/mid/back).

Cross-Asset Confirmation / Component Confluence

CONFIRMING · COMPLETE
4 native levels received secondary cross-asset confirmation. Strongest alignment sits around 3022.57 via ETF ratio levels and component confluence zones.

Native futures levels stay primary. Use ETF conversions as corroboration and component zones as provisional structure only, especially when the overlay is partial or quality flags are present.

Secondary confirmation only. Native index and MCP levels remain primary. MCP-native individual stock Greek scans are unavailable; if component confluence is attached it was produced by the system-level Polygon overlay path and remains opt-in, secondary, and provisional rather than an executable native futures level. Component weights are static/proxy unless explicitly holdings-confirmed, beta may be defaulted to 1.0, and TOP_10 lists should not be treated as quantitatively ranked until liquidity plus holdings/beta calibration are implemented.

Native Levels Confirmed

4 matched levels
GAMMA FLIP
72 conf
3022.57
Native 0DTE Gamma Neutral, rootStability clean (RUT 3006.57)

Native 0DTE Gamma Neutral, rootStability clean (RUT 3006.57) is secondarily confirmed by IWM ratio level near 3020.26 and 5-stock zone 3013.44-3020.52.

ETF 3COMP 2
PUT WALL
38 conf
2916.00
Native 7DTE put wall, credible OI 290 (RUT 2900)

Native 7DTE put wall, credible OI 290 (RUT 2900) is secondarily confirmed by IWM ratio level near 2918.91.

ETF 3
VANNA ANTIMAGNET
18 conf
3016.00
RUT-native + IWM fixed1m antimagnets both co-located at live spot

RUT-native + IWM fixed1m antimagnets both co-located at live spot is secondarily confirmed by 5-stock zone 3013.44-3020.52.

COMP 2
VANNA MAGNET
18 conf
3025.90
IWM 1DTE call wall + strongest vanna magnet, vanna +2549.2 (RUT 3009.90)

IWM 1DTE call wall + strongest vanna magnet, vanna +2549.2 (RUT 3009.90) is secondarily confirmed by 11-stock zone 3013.94-3024.11.

COMP 2

ETF Confirmation Levels

IWM ratio-converted
IWM
0.85
3040.53
CALL_WALL · DTE 0

IWM ratio-converted CALL_WALL at 3040.53 (DTE 0). Secondary confirmation only.

IWM
0.85
2918.91
PUT_WALL · DTE 0

IWM ratio-converted PUT_WALL at 2918.91 (DTE 0). Secondary confirmation only.

IWM
0.85
2918.91
PUT_SUPPORT · DTE 0

IWM ratio-converted PUT_SUPPORT at 2918.91 (DTE 0). Secondary confirmation only.

IWM
0.85
2918.91
PUT_FLOOR · DTE 0

IWM ratio-converted PUT_FLOOR at 2918.91 (DTE 0). Secondary confirmation only.

Component Confluence Zones

Provisional only
PUT_SUPPORT
0.41
3013.44 - 3020.52
center 3016.65 · 5 names · DTE 4

5-stock put-support confluence cluster centered 3016.65. Provisional component estimate, not a native executable level.

CALL_WALL
0.40
3013.94 - 3024.11
center 3019.17 · 11 names · DTE 4

11-stock call-side confluence cluster centered 3019.17. Provisional component estimate, not a native executable level.

PUT_SUPPORT
0.38
3003.47 - 3011.79
center 3007.12 · 10 names · DTE 4

10-stock put-support confluence cluster centered 3007.12. Provisional component estimate, not a native executable level.

CALL_WALL
0.18
3023.48 - 3028.00
center 3025.74 · 2 names · DTE 4

2-stock call-side confluence cluster centered 3025.74. Provisional component estimate, not a native executable level.

Cautions

Quality-aware language
  • Component zones rely on static/proxy weights rather than holdings-confirmed weights and stay secondary to native futures levels.
  • At least one component projection defaulted beta to 1.0, so component-zone placement is approximate.
  • Source coverage was degraded by quote gaps or pagination truncation, so missing confirmations are not a signal by themselves.
  • One or more component zones were built from a small contributor set and should be treated as provisional only.
  • MCP-native individual stock Greek scans are unavailable. If component zones are attached, they come from the system-level Polygon overlay path and remain secondary/provisional to native index and MCP levels.

Overlay Diagnostics

Runtime 24s
  • LIGHTER_SELECTION_PATH: using static seed order for this overlay run to avoid a duplicate liquidity pre-scan before component resolution.
  • ETF_SOURCE: contracts:PAGINATION_REQUIRED
  • COMPONENT_SOURCE: Selected universe uses STATIC_SEED_FALLBACK and HOLDINGS_STALE until issuer/provider holdings adapters exist.
  • COMPONENT_SOURCE: Using static seed order for this run to avoid a duplicate liquidity pre-scan before component source resolution.

LBF Status

Look-Below-And-Fail · conditions armed
0
NOT ARMED · 0/3 conditions
0
Tension Index

Accuracy Log

Outcomes · last 18 levels scored
DateSymbolLevelPredictedOutcomeNotes
2026-04-20RTYHVL@ 2796.00LONG_ABOVEHITRTY opened 2777.00, printed a 30-minute close of 2791.90, then reclaimed and held above 2796. Session high reached 2809.30 and close finished 2807.60, confirming the upside pivot break.
2026-04-17RTYCALL WALL@ 2782.00Fade at post-pin continuation targetMISSEDPrice never reached 2782 — pinned tight at 2773
2026-04-17RTYPUT FLOOR@ 2752.00Bear trigger — clean break = cascadeHELDSession low was 2762 — never tested 2752
2026-04-17RTYDOMINANT ANCHOR@ 2775.00OPEX PIN — consolidate at IWM 275 into 4PM closeHITClosed RTY 2773.5. OPEX pin held perfectly.
2026-04-16RTYCALL WALL@ 2756.00First target on 2736 longHITTarget hit cleanly ~12:30 ET
2026-04-16RTYGAMMA FLIP@ 2764.00ATH amplifier gate — sustained break = accelerationREJECTEDTagged 2761.5 (ATH) but failed to sustain above 2764 flip
2026-04-16RTYDOMINANT ANCHOR@ 2736.00Bull gate: 2736 IB accept = long triggerHITAccepted 2736 on 15-min bar, ran to 2756 by noon
2026-04-15RTYHVL@ 2679.00Gamma flip gate — hold = bull regimeHELDNever tested — session stayed above 2705
2026-04-15RTYVANNA MAGNET@ 2722.00Vol compression pulls to vanna magnetHITRTY tagged 2722.5 within first 45 min of RTH
2026-04-15RTYCALL WALL@ 2737.00Dominant call wall — fade atREJECTEDTested 2736.5, rejected twice; closed 2725
2026-04-15RTYGAMMA FLIP@ 2732.00Regime flip on reclaimMISSEDRejected twice then price broke lower — flip never reclaimed
2026-04-15RTYPUT FLOOR@ 2710.00Absorption — put wall defendsABSORBEDIntraday -$159K flipped to +$147K, held on two tests
2026-04-15RTYCALL WALL@ 2725.00Fade at 2725 — vanna-sandwich lidREJECTEDRejected 2724.8 high, closed 2716
2026-04-14RTYDOMINANT ANCHOR@ 2672.00Gamma peak gravity center — buy on testPENDINGPrice never reached — held above 2687
2026-04-14RTYHVL@ 2687.00HVL support — buy on testHELDHeld intraday; 2687 was low of the day before bounce
2026-04-14RTYCALL WALL@ 2702.00Fade at dominant call wallREJECTEDRejected 2703.5 high multiple times; RTY consolidated 2685–2700 all day
2026-04-13RTYGAMMA FLIP@ 2564.50Bull thesis invalidationHELDNever traded near this level; tariff rally ensued
2026-04-13RTYHVL@ 2641.505-min hold = long trigger to VPOC 2663PENDING
Total Logged18
Scored16
Hit Rate81%
Best Level TypeHVL 100%

Archive

Recent editions
2026-07-15 · RTY
RTY's PPI reaction was the weakest of the three families (+0.15% vs ES/NQ's +0.2-0.3%), and session-long DEX/vanna have stayed negative the entire morning without crossing positive - a persistent bearish-leaning Greek signature distinct from SPX/NQ's more constructive builds, reinforcing the user's own excess-high/breakdown read while respecting genuine two-sided rotation risk within the newly-formed lower balance.
OPEN TEST DRIVE
BEARISHNEGATIVE
2026-07-15 · NQ
PPI printed a market-friendly reaction that pushed NQ ~70-90pts through the dominant confluence pin (29929) before the open; today resolves on whether that breakout holds through the first 30 minutes of cash trading or gets reclaimed and rejected back into the pin/HG zone, with NDX-side data quality thinner than SPX's this session.
OPEN TEST DRIVE
BULLISHNEGATIVE
2026-07-15 · ES
PPI printed a market-friendly reaction that pushed ES 15-19pts through the dominant 0DTE pin (7589) before the open; today resolves on whether that breakout holds through the first 30 minutes of cash trading or gets reclaimed and rejected back into the pin/charm-centroid zone.
OPEN TEST DRIVE
BULLISHNEGATIVE
2026-07-14 · RTY
RTY flipped back to positive/dampening 0DTE gamma today (+$32.29M), the only positive-gamma instrument of the three families, with spot pinned essentially on top of the native 0DTE GN (RTY 2965.59) and the day's strongest confluence (RTY 2964.35); expect chop inside the pin through CPI, with RTY likely dampening rather than amplifying a directional CPI move relative to ES/NQ's negative-gamma books today.
OPEN AUCTION
NEUTRALPOSITIVE
2026-07-14 · NQ
NDX/NQ flipped to a thin/mild negative-gamma 0DTE book overnight (-$186.4M) with live spot sitting essentially inside the day's strongest GEX confluence (NQ 29609-29646); CPI prints within the hour, and NQ's vanna map (largest magnet above spot) and charm read (dominant centroid below spot) disagree on direction, arguing for a genuinely two-sided, event-driven session.
OPEN AUCTION
NEUTRALNEGATIVE
2026-07-14 · ES
SPX/ES flipped to a decisively negative-gamma 0DTE book overnight (-$6.99B) with live spot sitting essentially inside the day's strongest GEX confluence (ES 7554-7564); CPI prints within the hour, and the negative-gamma regime means a surprise in either direction has more room to extend than yesterday's positive-gamma session allowed.
OPEN AUCTION
NEUTRALNEGATIVE
2026-07-13 · RTY
RTY sits 17.75pts below a now-clean native 0DTE GN (RTY 3002.75) inside a freshly negative-gamma book (-$18.0M, a regime flip from Friday's balance); expect a test toward the 2994 resistance/antimagnet confluence with real rejection-or-acceleration risk given the negative-gamma regime, rotating toward the 2962-2964 support confluence if rejected.
OPEN TEST DRIVE
NEUTRALNEGATIVE
2026-07-13 · NQ
NDX/NQ sits inside a tight, genuinely bracketing confluence pin (NQ 29762-29793); expect chop within or just outside that bracket toward 29629-29639 (dominant put wall/HG control line) below or 29886 (call wall) above unless a level breaks with volume ahead of tomorrow's CPI.
OPEN AUCTION
NEUTRALPOSITIVE
2026-07-13 · ES
SPX/ES sits 11.8pts below a multi-root 0DTE Gamma Neutral (ES 7610.82) inside a decisively positive-gamma book; expect range/fade behavior between the 7591 near-spot support and the 7620-7621 GEX/vanna confluence resistance unless one side breaks with volume ahead of tomorrow's CPI.
OPEN AUCTION
NEUTRALPOSITIVE
OpenGamma Intelligence · Schema v1.1.0This brief is not investment advice.