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Edition · Thursday, July 9, 2026·Archived · 7d ago · historical·09 Jul 2026 13:58 UTC

NQPOSITIVE

Spot29872.00SessionINTRADAY
Dealer Regime
NDX_POSITIVE_0DTE_OPEN_FLIP
NetGEX $698Risk MODERATE
Opening Type
OPEN DRIVE UP
Conf 65%Day NEUTRAL
Share Card
Accuracy Ledger2 logged · 2 scored50% hit rateFull ledger ↓
Desk Thesis · 2026-07-09

NDX's premarket resistance break carried through the open and flipped its own dealer book from negative to positive gamma in a clean step-change; positive gamma now dampens further momentum, and spot is locally bracketed by a real antimagnet/magnet pair, favoring consolidation over the continuation case flagged premarket.

NDX flipped from negative to positive 0DTE gamma at the open (-$110.3M to +$697.8M), a clean step-change right at 13:33-13:38Z; spot now sits between a real vanna antimagnet just below (NQ 29860.75) and a real magnet just above (NQ 29901.85) — fade extremes inside that bracket and watch the dominant confluence at NQ 29825-29830 for a deeper pullback level.

Level Map

Confluence-ranked · distances from spot 29872.00
NQ
NDX
Level
Action · Distance
29907.09
CALL WALL2DTE call wall (nearest resistance)
WATCH+0.12% · conf 1
SPOT
NQ29872.00
NDX29872.00
Range 29606.20–30137.80
29829.98
CALL WALLDominant 0/7/21DTE call-side cross-rail confluence (prior pin zone, now support)
WATCH-0.14% · conf 3
29824.79
PUT WALLDominant 0/1/7/21DTE put-side cross-rail confluence (prior pin zone, now support)
WATCH-0.16% · conf 3
29722.08
GAMMA FLIPNDX native 7DTE Gamma Neutral
WATCH-0.50% · conf 2
29619.31
PUT FLOOR7DTE put wall (nearest support)
WATCH-0.85% · conf 1
29382.09
GAMMA FLIPNDX native 0DTE Gamma Neutral
WATCH-1.64% · conf 2

Level Reaction

Intraday tape · NQ · 2026-07-09
Loading session tape…

Greek Pressure

Dealer directional forces · next session
GAMMA
UP · 65

Flipped from negative to positive 0DTE gamma in a clean step at the cash open (13:33-13:38Z), 94% coverage, corroborated across the full 0-7DTE heatmap curve (all columns now positive).

VANNA
DOWN · 15

Small and negative post-open (was +484 flat all premarket) — a modest destabilizing shift at the aggregate level, but spot is locally bracketed by a real antimagnet (29861) below and magnet (29902) above.

CHARM
UP · 55

Surged ~70x at the same open step-change (was flat ~1,350-1,368 for hours premarket, now running 68K-107K) — real, coverage-consistent, not noise.

COLOR
DOWN · 15

Small and negative, in line with premarket direction but larger magnitude post-open.

VOMMA
DOWN · 25

Down from premarket's 4.69M as the vol backdrop settled slightly (VIX 17.09-17.53 range this morning vs 17 now).

Higher-Order

Second + third-order greeks
color
LATENT
-157.560

speed
LATENT
0.000

vomma
LATENT
1453288.720

zomma
LATENT
-0.008

IV Intelligence

Quadrant · skew · term structure
Regime Quadrant
Not captured
ATM IVUnavailable
IV Percentile
Skew Pctile
Skew ShapeREVERSE_SMIRK
Expected Daily MoveNot captured
Term Structure
Not captured
Term structure not captured for this sessionExpected: ivRegime.termStructure as array of IV fractions per tenor (front/mid/back).

Cross-Asset Confirmation / Component Confluence

PARTIAL · PARTIAL_ERROR · partial
Cross-asset confirmation was only partially available in this run. Keep the native futures map primary.

No usable ETF ratio levels or component zones were produced. This should reduce confidence in the overlay, not alter the native thesis by itself.

Secondary confirmation only. Native index and MCP levels remain primary. MCP-native individual stock Greek scans are unavailable; if component confluence is attached it was produced by the system-level Polygon overlay path and remains opt-in, secondary, and provisional rather than an executable native futures level. Component weights are static/proxy unless explicitly holdings-confirmed, beta may be defaulted to 1.0, and TOP_10 lists should not be treated as quantitatively ranked until liquidity plus holdings/beta calibration are implemented.

Native Levels Confirmed

0 matched levels
No direct native-level overlap was captured in this bounded cross-asset run.That weakens confirmation quality, but it does not replace the native futures map.

ETF Confirmation Levels

QQQ ratio-converted
No ETF ratio confirmations were retained.Missing ETF spot or source coverage can suppress this list on bounded runs.

Component Confluence Zones

Provisional only
No component confluence zones were retained.That can happen when contributor coverage is thin or the bounded runtime exits early.

Cautions

Quality-aware language
  • MCP-native individual stock Greek scans are unavailable. If component zones are attached, they come from the system-level Polygon overlay path and remain secondary/provisional to native index and MCP levels.
  • The overlay scan was partial because the runtime budget was hit or a source stage degraded. Treat absent confirmations as unknown, not bearish or bullish evidence.

Overlay Diagnostics

Runtime 11s
No converted levels or confluence zones were produced
  • LIGHTER_SELECTION_PATH: using static seed order for this overlay run to avoid a duplicate liquidity pre-scan before component resolution.
  • ETF_SOURCE: contracts:RATE_LIMITED
  • COMPONENT_SOURCE: Selected universe uses STATIC_SEED_FALLBACK and HOLDINGS_STALE until issuer/provider holdings adapters exist.
  • COMPONENT_SOURCE: Using static seed order for this run to avoid a duplicate liquidity pre-scan before component source resolution.
  • COMPONENT_SOURCE: NVDA: NVDA: contracts lookup via NVDA returned RATE_LIMITED (You've exceeded the maximum requests per minute, please wait or upgrade your subscription to continue. https://massive.com/pricing)
  • COMPONENT_SOURCE: AMD: AMD: contracts lookup via AMD returned RATE_LIMITED (You've exceeded the maximum requests per minute, please wait or upgrade your subscription to continue. https://massive.com/pricing)

LBF Status

Look-Below-And-Fail · conditions armed
0
NOT ARMED · 0/3 conditions
0
Tension Index

Accuracy Log

Outcomes · last 2 levels scored
DateSymbolLevelPredictedOutcomeNotes
2026-04-20NQDOMINANT ANCHOR@ 26831.00FADE_ATHELDHigh print was 26827.00, four points shy of the 26831 anchor. The ceiling held and the contract closed back below at 26774.50.
2026-04-20NQPUT FLOOR@ 26689.00BUY_ON_TESTABSORBEDNQ broke below first support to 26593.75, but the move did not extend to 26499 structural support. The contract recovered and closed 26774.50, so the downside strike occurred but was ultimately absorbed.
Total Logged2
Scored2
Hit Rate50%
Best Level Type

Archive

Recent editions
2026-07-15 · RTY
RTY's PPI reaction was the weakest of the three families (+0.15% vs ES/NQ's +0.2-0.3%), and session-long DEX/vanna have stayed negative the entire morning without crossing positive - a persistent bearish-leaning Greek signature distinct from SPX/NQ's more constructive builds, reinforcing the user's own excess-high/breakdown read while respecting genuine two-sided rotation risk within the newly-formed lower balance.
OPEN TEST DRIVE
BEARISHNEGATIVE
2026-07-15 · NQ
PPI printed a market-friendly reaction that pushed NQ ~70-90pts through the dominant confluence pin (29929) before the open; today resolves on whether that breakout holds through the first 30 minutes of cash trading or gets reclaimed and rejected back into the pin/HG zone, with NDX-side data quality thinner than SPX's this session.
OPEN TEST DRIVE
BULLISHNEGATIVE
2026-07-15 · ES
PPI printed a market-friendly reaction that pushed ES 15-19pts through the dominant 0DTE pin (7589) before the open; today resolves on whether that breakout holds through the first 30 minutes of cash trading or gets reclaimed and rejected back into the pin/charm-centroid zone.
OPEN TEST DRIVE
BULLISHNEGATIVE
2026-07-14 · RTY
RTY flipped back to positive/dampening 0DTE gamma today (+$32.29M), the only positive-gamma instrument of the three families, with spot pinned essentially on top of the native 0DTE GN (RTY 2965.59) and the day's strongest confluence (RTY 2964.35); expect chop inside the pin through CPI, with RTY likely dampening rather than amplifying a directional CPI move relative to ES/NQ's negative-gamma books today.
OPEN AUCTION
NEUTRALPOSITIVE
2026-07-14 · NQ
NDX/NQ flipped to a thin/mild negative-gamma 0DTE book overnight (-$186.4M) with live spot sitting essentially inside the day's strongest GEX confluence (NQ 29609-29646); CPI prints within the hour, and NQ's vanna map (largest magnet above spot) and charm read (dominant centroid below spot) disagree on direction, arguing for a genuinely two-sided, event-driven session.
OPEN AUCTION
NEUTRALNEGATIVE
2026-07-14 · ES
SPX/ES flipped to a decisively negative-gamma 0DTE book overnight (-$6.99B) with live spot sitting essentially inside the day's strongest GEX confluence (ES 7554-7564); CPI prints within the hour, and the negative-gamma regime means a surprise in either direction has more room to extend than yesterday's positive-gamma session allowed.
OPEN AUCTION
NEUTRALNEGATIVE
2026-07-13 · RTY
RTY sits 17.75pts below a now-clean native 0DTE GN (RTY 3002.75) inside a freshly negative-gamma book (-$18.0M, a regime flip from Friday's balance); expect a test toward the 2994 resistance/antimagnet confluence with real rejection-or-acceleration risk given the negative-gamma regime, rotating toward the 2962-2964 support confluence if rejected.
OPEN TEST DRIVE
NEUTRALNEGATIVE
2026-07-13 · NQ
NDX/NQ sits inside a tight, genuinely bracketing confluence pin (NQ 29762-29793); expect chop within or just outside that bracket toward 29629-29639 (dominant put wall/HG control line) below or 29886 (call wall) above unless a level breaks with volume ahead of tomorrow's CPI.
OPEN AUCTION
NEUTRALPOSITIVE
2026-07-13 · ES
SPX/ES sits 11.8pts below a multi-root 0DTE Gamma Neutral (ES 7610.82) inside a decisively positive-gamma book; expect range/fade behavior between the 7591 near-spot support and the 7620-7621 GEX/vanna confluence resistance unless one side breaks with volume ahead of tomorrow's CPI.
OPEN AUCTION
NEUTRALPOSITIVE
OpenGamma Intelligence · Schema v1.1.0This brief is not investment advice.