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Edition · Thursday, August 27, 2026·Archived · 3d ago · historical·27 Aug 2026 14:25 UTC

NQPOSITIVE

Spot29508.32Futures29575.00Basis+66.70SessionINTRADAY_RESCAN
Dealer Regime
POSITIVE_GAMMA_SPOT_PINNED_ON_DOMINANT_NODE
NetGEX $2.3KRisk LOW
Opening Type
OPEN AUCTION
Conf 55%Day TRENDGAP UP
Share Card
Accuracy Ledger2 logged · 2 scored50% hit rateFull ledger ↓
Desk Thesis · 2026-08-27

NDX is pinned on the largest gamma node in its own book - the native 29,510 strike at +$526M and the ETF 718 strike at +$295.7M land seven points apart on separately measured chains, joined by a STRONG allCredible cluster at percentile 0.948 - inside a strongly positive-gamma regime where dealer hedging damps every impulse, and since the open the vanna channel has inverted at spot from antimagnet to magnet so that it now reinforces the pin rather than fighting it.

Trade the upside as a move to a target, not as a breakout. The structure backs the direction - call gamma outweighs put gamma 8 to 1, there is zero call open interest below QQQ 710, vanna has flipped bullish at spot, and QQQ 720 is the largest call node on both the 0DTE and 1DTE chains - but positive gamma damps breaks by construction, so expect a slow grind that stalls. Long on a hold above 29612 or a pullback into 29529 to 29575 that holds, targeting 29653 then 29667 and 29678, taking size at 29653 where the magnet and the wall coincide, invalidated below 29507. Short only on losing 29507 with acceptance toward 29481 and 29447, with the real short existing only below 29422. No new risk inside the 29529 to 29612 pin.

Level Map

Confluence-ranked · distances from spot 29508.32
NQ
NDX
Level
Action · Distance
NQ29857.70
NDX29791.00
CALL WALLQQQ 725 call open-interest shelf
WATCH+0.96% · conf 1
NQ29766.70
NDX29700.00
CALL WALLNative upper gamma node
WATCH+0.65% · conf 1
NQ29734.70
NDX29668.00
DOMINANT ANCHORQQQ 722 gamma node
WATCH+0.54% · conf 1
NQ29678.70
NDX29612.00
DOMINANT ANCHORDensest cross-rail cluster
WATCH+0.35% · conf 2
NQ29666.70
NDX29600.00
CALL WALLNative 0DTE call wall
WATCH+0.31% · conf 2
NQ29652.70
NDX29586.00
CALL WALLQQQ 720 - the ceiling
WATCH+0.26% · conf 3
NQ29610.70
NDX29544.00
DOMINANT ANCHORQQQ 719 - the gate
WATCH+0.12% · conf 3
NQ29589.70
NDX29523.00
VANNA MAGNETQQQ 718 vanna magnet
WATCH+0.05% · conf 3
NQ29576.70
NDX29510.00
DOMINANT ANCHORNDXP dominant node - spot is on it
WATCH+0.01% · conf 3
NQ29575.70
NDX29509.00
DOMINANT ANCHORSTRONG cross-rail cluster
WATCH+0.00% · conf 3
NQ29569.70
NDX29503.00
CALL WALLQQQ 718 call wall - deep-book twin
WATCH-0.02% · conf 3
SPOT
NQ29575.00
NDX29508.32
Range 29392.00–29758.00
NQ29507.70
NDX29441.00
VANNA ANTIMAGNETQQQ 716 vanna antimagnet
WATCH-0.23% · conf 2
NQ29481.70
NDX29415.00
GAMMA NEUTRALNative 0DTE Gamma Neutral
WATCH-0.32% · conf 3
NQ29446.70
NDX29380.00
VANNA ANTIMAGNETQQQ 715 - largest open interest, dominant antimagnet
WATCH-0.43% · conf 3
NQ29421.70
NDX29355.00
GAMMA NEUTRALQQQ-rail 0DTE Gamma Neutral - the regime line
WATCH-0.52% · conf 3

Level Reaction

Intraday tape · NQ · 2026-08-27
Loading session tape…

Greek Pressure

Dealer directional forces · next session
GAMMA
COMPRESSION · 82

Strongly POSITIVE and now MEASURED rather than reconstructed: native 0DTE +$2.264B and ETF 0DTE +$1.640B, with 1DTE at +$1.724B and +$1.204B. Spot sits 93 to 153 futures points above both gamma-neutral crossings, deep inside positive gamma where dealer hedging damps every impulse. Decisively, the single largest 0DTE call node on both rails is at spot - native 29,510 at +$526M and ETF 718 at +$295.7M, seven points apart on separately measured books - joined by a STRONG allCredible cluster at gexPercentile 0.948. Three rails put their strongest node on the current price: this is a pin, and it is the reason for the narrow choppy range. The structural asymmetry is 8 to 1 in favour of calls, largest positive strike +$358.6M against largest negative -$45M, with zero call open interest below QQQ 710. Dollar-delta folded in here: net DEX +$3.262B from the live harvest.

VANNA
UP · 70

The vanna channel has INVERTED at spot since the pre-open and now reinforces the gamma pin instead of fighting it. Before the open, QQQ 717 was a 0DTE antimagnet at vhi -8,221 with spot on it; the strike at spot is now a MAGNET at vhi +9,307. The dominant magnet sits at QQQ 720, vhi +15,765 on 0DTE and +19,803 on 1DTE, which is the same strike as the largest gamma node - magnet and wall in one place. The repulsion has migrated down to QQQ 715 and 716, where the antimagnet now reads -21,090 on 0DTE and -23,116 on 1DTE, the largest vanna values on the board. Note the live harvest reads net vanna -39,388 against the store block's +877; the live figure is used because the store block is anchored 280 points from spot.

CHARM
DOWN · 45

Readable again. Before the open I refused this channel because the native and ETF rails disagreed on the SIGN of net charm, +7.61e12 against -9.27e11. They now AGREE - both negative - and the native centroid has flipped sign along with it. Negative net charm means call delta bleeding away through the session, which is a mild drag against upside into the close rather than a driver. The centroids still disagree on location by 173 points, so no level is drawn from either, and CEX_PRESSURE_CENTROID_NOT_PRICE_TARGET still applies - the native centroid is essentially at spot.

VOMMA
UP · 58

Net vomma strongly positive from the live harvest - the book lengthens volatility as volatility rises. VIX has ticked up from 14.93 to 15.13 and the front VIX expiry is still in negative gamma at -245,219, so VIX moves still overshoot; the VIX put wall has risen from 14.5 to 15.0 with spot. Veta is folded in here because the schema has no VETA row and it is not published on this rail.

COLOR
DOWN · 22

Net color -35.7 on the live harvest against -142.4 on the stale store block. Small either way. Gamma decay matters today mainly as the mechanism that releases the pin into the afternoon as 0DTE gamma runs off, not as a directional input.

SPEED
NEUTRAL · 5

Speed at the GN0 strike reads exactly 0 - the standing coverage caveat firing rather than a measurement, since speed is non-zero on only about 1 percent of contracts. A SINGLE-STRIKE level property, never comparable to a net aggregate. The store's GN0 anchor of 29,225 is additionally 280 points below live spot and has not re-anchored.

ZOMMA
NEUTRAL · 8

Zomma at the store's GN0 strike 29,225, a single-strike level property rather than an aggregate, and anchored 280 points from spot. Negligible magnitude and not read.

ULTIMA
NEUTRAL · 10

Net ultima is not published on this rail and was not separately solved in the live harvest, so no value is claimed. Recorded as absent rather than estimated.

Higher-Order

Second + third-order greeks
color
LATENT
-35.700

Net color -35.7 on the live harvest against -142.4 on the stale store block. Matters today as the mechanism that releases the pin into the afternoon as 0DTE gamma runs off, not as a directional input

speed
LATENT
0.000

Speed at the GN0 strike reads exactly 0 - the standing coverage caveat firing rather than a measurement. A single-strike level property, never comparable to a net, and the store's GN0 anchor is 280 points below live spot

vomma
LATENT
224566375.000

Strongly positive on the live harvest - the book lengthens volatility as volatility rises, with VIX up to 15.13 and the front VIX expiry still short gamma at -245,219 so VIX moves overshoot

zomma
LATENT
-0.011

Zomma at the store's GN0 strike 29,225, a single-strike level property anchored 280 points from spot. Negligible and not read

provenance
LATENT
NaN

IV Intelligence

Quadrant · skew · term structure
Regime Quadrant
Not captured
ATM IVUnavailable
IV Percentile8
Skew Pctile90
Skew ShapeSMIRK
Expected Daily Move±0.62% / ±0.62%
Term Structure
Not captured
Term structure not captured for this sessionExpected: ivRegime.termStructure as array of IV fractions per tenor (front/mid/back).

Cross-Asset Confirmation / Component Confluence

PARTIAL · PARTIAL_ERROR · partial
Cross-asset confirmation was only partially available in this run. Keep the native futures map primary.

No usable ETF ratio levels or component zones were produced. This should reduce confidence in the overlay, not alter the native thesis by itself.

Secondary confirmation only. Native index and MCP levels remain primary. MCP-native individual stock Greek scans are unavailable; if component confluence is attached it was produced by the system-level Polygon overlay path and remains opt-in, secondary, and provisional rather than an executable native futures level. Component weights are static/proxy unless explicitly holdings-confirmed, beta may be defaulted to 1.0, and TOP_10 lists should not be treated as quantitatively ranked until liquidity plus holdings/beta calibration are implemented.

Native Levels Confirmed

0 matched levels
No direct native-level overlap was captured in this bounded cross-asset run.That weakens confirmation quality, but it does not replace the native futures map.

ETF Confirmation Levels

QQQ ratio-converted
No ETF ratio confirmations were retained.Missing ETF spot or source coverage can suppress this list on bounded runs.

Component Confluence Zones

Provisional only
No component confluence zones were retained.That can happen when contributor coverage is thin or the bounded runtime exits early.

Cautions

Quality-aware language
  • MCP-native individual stock Greek scans are unavailable. If component zones are attached, they come from the system-level Polygon overlay path and remain secondary/provisional to native index and MCP levels.
  • The overlay scan was partial because the runtime budget was hit or a source stage degraded. Treat absent confirmations as unknown, not bearish or bullish evidence.

Overlay Diagnostics

Runtime 21s
No converted levels or confluence zones were produced
  • LIGHTER_SELECTION_PATH: using static seed order for this overlay run to avoid a duplicate liquidity pre-scan before component resolution.
  • ETF_SOURCE: contracts:PAGINATION_REQUIRED
  • ETF_SOURCE: contracts:PAGINATION_TRUNCATED
  • COMPONENT_SOURCE: Selected universe uses STATIC_SEED_FALLBACK and HOLDINGS_STALE until issuer/provider holdings adapters exist.
  • COMPONENT_SOURCE: Using static seed order for this run to avoid a duplicate liquidity pre-scan before component source resolution.
  • COMPONENT_SOURCE: NVDA: NVDA: contracts lookup via NVDA returned RATE_LIMITED (You've exceeded the maximum requests per minute, please wait or upgrade your subscription to continue. https://massive.com/pricing)

LBF Status

Look-Below-And-Fail · conditions armed
0
NOT ARMED · 0/3 conditions
0
Tension Index

Accuracy Log

Outcomes · last 2 levels scored
DateSymbolLevelPredictedOutcomeNotes
2026-04-20NQDOMINANT ANCHOR@ 26831.00FADE_ATHELDHigh print was 26827.00, four points shy of the 26831 anchor. The ceiling held and the contract closed back below at 26774.50.
2026-04-20NQPUT FLOOR@ 26689.00BUY_ON_TESTABSORBEDNQ broke below first support to 26593.75, but the move did not extend to 26499 structural support. The contract recovered and closed 26774.50, so the downside strike occurred but was ultimately absorbed.
Total Logged2
Scored2
Hit Rate50%
Best Level Type

Archive

Recent editions
2026-08-28 · NQ
The Nasdaq is net positive on 0DTE gamma but is trading just BELOW its 0DTE flip on the rail that actually has depth, which puts it in a shallow negative-gamma pocket rather than in a damped one. The ETF rail carries 240,914 contracts within 1.5 percent of spot against the native book's 7,483 - a 32 to 1 ratio - and it places the cumulative crossing at 29,626-29,667 index, above spot, while the thin native rail places it below. Being under the flip does not contradict an upward lean, it amplifies it: impulses are not damped here, so a push accelerates into the nodes overhead rather than being sold into. Vanna agrees emphatically - all four native antimagnets sit in a band that contains spot while all four magnets sit above it, the strongest repulsion being -20,028 essentially on price. The counterweight is charm, which flipped negative early and stayed there, a mild drag that the S&P does not have.
OPEN AUCTION · NORMAL
BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-08-28 · ES
The S&P is in strongly positive gamma with spot 15 points above a Gamma Neutral that has been rising all morning, and the book is asymmetric in a way that supports both halves of a grind-up-with-a-trapdoor read: the entire 0DTE put wing sits at ONE strike, 7700 carrying -$2,890M on 12,021 contracts, while call gamma runs continuously across eleven strikes from 7745 to 7800 with no single dominant obstacle - so the downside is a cliff at one level and the upside is a ramp. Vanna says the same thing from a different direction, with a -23,142 antimagnet at 7717.66 and a +24,764 magnet at 7767.77 straddling spot. Charm is positive and building 28.7 percent this morning. The path of least resistance is up toward the 7765-7775 complex where the dominant gamma node, the vanna magnet and the cumulative crossing all coincide.
OPEN AUCTION · NORMAL
BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-08-27 · NQ
NDX is pinned on the largest gamma node in its own book - the native 29,510 strike at +$526M and the ETF 718 strike at +$295.7M land seven points apart on separately measured chains, joined by a STRONG allCredible cluster at percentile 0.948 - inside a strongly positive-gamma regime where dealer hedging damps every impulse, and since the open the vanna channel has inverted at spot from antimagnet to magnet so that it now reinforces the pin rather than fighting it.
OPEN AUCTION · TREND
NEUTRALPOSITIVE
2026-08-27 · NQ
NDX has cleared into damped positive gamma with spot sitting at the top of its 29,326 to 29,483 flip band, so unlike the S&P it absorbs impulses rather than amplifying them - but price is resting directly on the 0DTE vanna antimagnet at QQQ 717 with the dominant magnet of the whole board 123 points above at QQQ 720, so it is unlikely to sit still, and the 718 call wall at NQ 29,573 is the gate that decides which way it goes.
OPEN AUCTION · TREND
NEUTRALPOSITIVE
2026-08-27 · ES
SPX is sitting on its 0DTE gamma flip inside a negative-gamma pocket running from 7647 to 7736, so intraday moves amplify rather than damp until price reaches an edge - and the upper edge is guarded by the largest one-sided call-gamma block on either chain, roughly +$8.0B from 7740 to 7820 with zero put open interest above 7755.
OPEN AUCTION · TREND
NEUTRALPOSITIVE
2026-08-26 · RTY
RUT is the un-pinned index. It carries roughly 1.6 percent of SPX's dealer gamma (+$65M against +$4,010M) while pricing 171 percent of its implied volatility (21.90 percent against 12.82), which works out to an expected move of 0.64 percent against SPX's 0.40. Measured against a VIX-implied daily of 0.986 percent, RUT is priced at 65 percent of the 30-day equivalent where SPX is at 41 - the front-day compression dominating the large-cap complex this week is much weaker in small caps, and RUT retained 80 percent of its Tuesday-close front-day variance overnight against the SPX complex's 64 percent. The structure is balanced and the discriminator is unusually well defined despite a thin chain and a broken vendor IV field: the cumulative-GEX crossing has printed inside a 0.20 point band across fourteen polls and five hours, with spot 2 points above it. The ceiling is the STRONG 0.797 cluster at RUT 3017 where IWM's call wall sits on all three listed expiries; the floor is RUT 2997-3000, the only price both rails independently mark.
OPEN AUCTION · NORMAL
NEUTRALPOSITIVE
2026-08-26 · NQ
NQ is structurally coiled with a genuine upside pull that is capped about 150 points above spot. Spot sits INSIDE a contiguous vanna antimagnet band running NQ 29,181 to 29,269, with a contiguous magnet band NQ 29,328 to 29,416 immediately above and nothing between them, so vanna is repelling price from where it is and attracting it higher. Two independent pieces of evidence support that lean: the NQ family is call-skewed into the event, with NDX 0DTE ATM calls at 16.4 against puts at 14.9 and QQQ at 21.1 against 16.2, a REVERSE_SMIRK on both, while the ES family is put-skewed; and QQQ 0DTE positive gamma built 12x through the pre-market. Against it, the NQ family is the fragile one - underperforming ES by 16 basis points overnight, charm negative on both native and ETF books where SPX is positive, spot 47 points BELOW its own Gamma Neutral where SPX is 2 points above, and its call wall and flip both migrating DOWN while the ES flip migrated UP. The resolution is that this is a two-sided, discriminator-dependent session rather than a directional one.
OPEN AUCTION · NORMAL
NEUTRALPOSITIVE
2026-08-26 · ES
ES is in a positive and building 0DTE gamma regime with spot two points above the most corroborated level in the complex - SPX 0DTE Gamma Neutral at 7670.57 / ES 7685.1, which is also the STRONG cross-rail cluster at the 0.949 GEX percentile. Positive gamma more than doubled through the pre-market while the put wall and the flip both migrated up and the call wall never moved, a constructive drift on every component. The 0DTE straddle implies only plus or minus 31 ES points, 41 percent of the VIX-implied daily, so the base case is a small, dampened, range-bound session. The structural asymmetry is in time rather than price: 0DTE is the only positive-gamma tenor in the whole ES complex and its dampening expires at today's close, into a negative-gamma 1DTE book that prices NVDA and whose largest negative node sits overhead at SPX 7715.
OPEN AUCTION · NORMAL
BULLISHPOSITIVE
2026-08-25 · NQ
NDXP is live for the first time today and the book is unambiguously positive gamma at +$1.42B with the entire gamma shelf stacked above spot at NQ 29440-29496, while session VWAP at 29331-29337 sits precisely on the QQQ 712 node and the 0.998-percentile cluster - so a reversion into 29326-29337 followed by extension into the overhead shelf is the mechanically favoured path, with the caveat that long-gamma dealers decelerate the extension rather than accelerating it.
OPEN DRIVE UP · NORMAL
BULLISHPOSITIVE
OpenGamma Intelligence · Schema v1.1.0This brief is not investment advice.